Trump’s motorcade arrived Tuesday afternoon (3.53am Wednesday morning AEST) at the courthouse shortly before he’s scheduled to appear before a magistrate judge, a stunning moment in American history days after he became the first former US President charged with federal crimes.

It’s the second criminal case Trump is facing as he seeks to reclaim the White House in 2024. He’s also accused in New York state court of falsifying business records related to hush-money payments made during the 2016 campaign.

Former US President Donald Trump leaves his Trump National Doral resort Monday June 13, 2023 in Doral, Florida.
Former US President Donald Trump leaves his Trump National Doral resort Monday June 13, 2023 in Doral, Florida. (AP Photo/Jim Rassol)
The motorcade carrying former President Donald Trump arrives near the Wilkie D. Ferguson Jr. US Courthouse, Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Miami.
The motorcade carrying former President Donald Trump arrives near the Wilkie D. Ferguson Jr. US Courthouse, Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Miami. (AP Photo/Chris O’Meara)

Trump has denied any wrongdoing, saying he’s being unfairly targeted by political opponents who want to hurt his campaign.

After his court appearance, Trump will return to New Jersey, where he’s expected to hold a press event to publicly respond to the charges.

What this hearing is about

Today’s hearing will operate as both an “initial appearance” and as a so-called arraignment as well, with Trump having the opportunity to enter his plea in the case.

Trump and Nauta’s lawyers will enter appearances in court on their behalf, and Florida rules require that the defendants have at least one lawyer barred in the state representing them.

Attorneys Todd Blanche and Chris Kise are expected to represent Trump in court for his arraignment, a source familiar with the matter tells CNN. However, the role Kise will play going forward is unclear, and he was sidelined during last year’s litigation over the Mar-a-Lago search amid Trump team in-fighting.

Another Florida-licensed attorney, Lindsey Halligan – who also worked on Trump’s lawsuit last year over the search – remains on Trump’s team and may be present on Tuesday.

Both defendants will be subjected to booking by the US Marshals Services as part of Tuesday’s events, though under Justice Department rules, their mug shots will not be immediately publicly available.

At the hearing, the magistrate judge will discuss the bond package that will allow the defendants to remain out of detention while they await trial.

There might be requirements that they notify the court’s probation’s office before travelling to certain location. Prosecutors also might ask that restrictions be placed on Trump and Nauta barring their communications with witnesses.

The Justice Department’s counterintelligence chief Jay Bratt, who has been a key player in the documents probe so far, is listed on the case’s document as representing the government.

But it’s likely that lawyers from the Southern District of Florida’s US Attorney’s office – which is led by US Attorney Markenzy Lapointe, who was confirmed by the Senate in December – are present Tuesday as well. It’s unclear who from Smith’s team will be at the proceedings, or if Smith himself will show up.

Seriousness of the charges

Before last week’s federal indictment, Trump also faced criminal charges brought by New York City’s local prosecutors for an alleged hush money scheme in the 2016 campaign in which Trump is accused of falsifying business records.

The new charges in the DOJ documents case are drastically more serious and present the possibility of several years in prison if Trump is ultimately convicted.

Thirty-one counts that Trump faces are for willful retention of national defence information, a charge that does not turn on whether the documents are classified.

In addition to the obstruction conspiracy, he also faces four counts related to the concealment of the documents, as well as a false statements charge.

“In a case like this, obstruction and tampering help prove the main charge, that the defendant willfully engaged in the charged conduct,” said David Aaron, a former federal prosecutor in espionage section of the DOJ’s national security division and a current senior counsel at Perkins Coie.

“Those facts could also affect how a judge, the jury, or the public views the case and could substantially affect sentencing.”

Once Tuesday’s hearing is in the rearview mirror, the case will enter a legal grind of pretrial proceedings, including likely disputes over what evidence is put before a jury and whether the case should be thrown out altogether before going to trial.

The Trump team will have plenty of opportunity to drag things out – potentially until after the 2024 election.

One major X-factor in the prosecution of the case is its assignment to Cannon, who sits in Ft. Pierce, Florida, but who is part of the pool of judges who are randomly cases filed in West Palm Beach, where the new indictment was brought.

“There are few things more powerful than a district judge in a federal case,” said Alan Rozenshtein, a former attorney in the DOJ National Security Division who is now a University of Minnesota law school professor.

“She could – if she wanted to – cause huge problems for the prosecution. Would they be existential problems? Probably not.”

Cannon’s approach to last year’s Trump lawsuit challenging the FBI’s Mar-a-Lago search raised eyebrows among legal experts across the ideological spectrum for how she appeared to bend over backward to create special legal rules in favour of the former US President.

Her rationale for why such a review was necessary was torn apart by a panel of right-leaning appellate judges, including two Trump appointees, on the 11th US Circuit Court of Appeals last December.

“She got so banged up by the 11th Circuit that she might be ultra-cautious,” Kel McClanahan, a national security lawyer and an adjunct professor at the George Washington University Law School, told CNN.

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