Unusually for a significant Tasmanian weather event, the state capital Hobart is directly in line for some of the most severe weather, with double the city’s average monthly rainfall likely over a 24-hour period.
With most Tasmanian weather systems, the west coast of the state sees the heaviest rain.
Indeed you might be interested to know that western Tasmania is the wettest part of Australia that’s not in the tropics.
But this weekend, the heaviest rain will fall in the state’s south-east, as a low pressure system moves over the state, then out into the southern Tasman sea, directing moist easterlies across Tasmania.
Southern Victoria will also see some chilly weather on Sunday, and while rain won’t be as heavy as in Tasmania, temperatures will still feel very wintry in Melbourne and nearby areas.
But the national weather focus for the weekend will definitely be on Tasmania, where heavy rain, storms, destructive winds, and potential flooding are all on the cards.
October is actually Hobart’s wettest month of the year, with 62.1mm of rainfall on average, so a decent drop at this time of year is hardly unexpected.