Don’t look now, but the New York Jets have won three of their past four games. Even with the recent surge, they still aren’t getting much respect from oddsmakers.

The Jets are a touchdown underdog on the road against a Packers team that is returning from London after being upset by the Giants. Looking deeper into the Packers though, their loss last Sunday wasn’t a one-week hiccup. Green Bay has won just one game this season by more than a TD — 27-10 over the lowly Bears. Otherwise, the Packers have two losses and two wins by a combined five points. So why exactly are they touchdown favorites again?

One can poke holes in the Jets’ victories: The Browns imploded, the Steelers are bad, and the Dolphins were without their starting QB. I see, however, a team with an improved roster that had many pundits gushing over them this offseason.

The BetMGM Logo

Claim a Risk-Free First Bet up to $1,000

New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. (Welcome Offer not available in NY & PA) Full T&C apply.

Caesars Sportsbook Logo Square

First bet up To $1,250 On Caesars

New users only, 21 or older. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Full T&Cs apply.

Bet $5, Get $150 + 3 Month NBA League Pass Sub

21+. New customers only. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY only. T&C apply

Zach Wilson
Zach Wilson
AP

Aaron Rodgers still doesn’t look comfortable with his receivers, and I don’t think Green Bay’s offense has the playmakers to turn things around in one week. Rodgers won’t have a lot of time in the pocket against a Jets defense that ranks fourth in the NFL in pressure percentage and quarterback knockdowns.

Betting on the NFL?

The Packers rank second in pass defense, but have had issues stopping the run. Jets rookie RB Breece Hall should be in line for another big game, after a 97-yard effort last week. The Jets have covered four of their past five on the road. I think they will keep it within a TD.

The play: Jets +7.5