The Trump Docket: If SCOTUS punts immunity question, Jan. 6 trial may not see this side of Election Day

Former President Donald Trump speaks members of the media while visiting with construction workers at the construction site of the new JPMorgan Chase headquarters in midtown Manhattan, Thursday, April 25, 2024, in New York. Trump met with construction workers and union representatives hours before he

Former President Donald Trump speaks members of the media while visiting with construction workers at the construction site of the new JPMorgan Chase headquarters in midtown Manhattan, Thursday, April 25, 2024, in New York. Trump met with construction workers and union representatives hours before he’s set to appear in court. (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

The sky isn’t falling on Donald Trump or special counsel Jack Smith just yet, but after the Supreme Court took on oral arguments considering whether Trump should have immunity from criminal prosecution as a former president, the question of whether he will actually go on trial in Washington, D.C. to face to charges that he subverted the 2020 election remains.

It would seem by the tone of oral arguments held Thursday that the justices may ultimately reject his bold and novel claims but it could be a narrow decision in the end given the court’s makeup. What may also unfold: the question could be remanded to a lower court to resolve. If the justices were to punt on immunity, it could mean special counsel Jack Smith won’t take Trump to trial over the events of Jan. 6 until after this year’s election — a particularly ominous prospect given that the former president is charged with allegedly trying to usurp power.

But depending on how the justices rule, the shape of the case in Washington, D.C., could shift altogether. They may deliver a ruling that describes how and when former presidents are immune and that would make it easier or harder for Smith. It is no less easy to predict when the court will rule: the justices could issue an opinion anytime between now and the end of this term in June or potentially early July. Should a ruling arrive that late into the summer, it would leave a very small window until the election in November.

Ironically, this would be contrary to even the position of Richard Nixon who said in 1973: “People have got to know whether or not their President is a crook.”

Law&Crime takes a look at this and other developments in Trump’s cases in Florida, Georgia, Washington, D.C., and New York.

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