The latest YouGov poll released today has projected election victory for Labor with an increased majority of 84 seats on Saturday.
In YouGov’s final MRP model of the 2025 federal election, Labor is on course for 52.9 per cent of the national two party preferred vote, leading the Coalition’s 47 per cent.
“Labor is poised to win an increased majority. This is a dramatic campaign turnaround considering our data in February pointed to a likely Coalition government,” said YouGov’s director of public data Paul Smith.
YouGov’s MRP shows Labor will now win decisively in the outer suburban and regional marginal seats that tend to decide Australian elections.
“It was in these types of electorates where the Coalition was leading just a couple of months ago.”
The model projects a range of different election day results, with Labor on course to secure between 76 and 85 seats.
The final Resolve poll of the campaign, published on Tuesday by the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age, also had the ALP leading the Coalition 53-47 in two-party preferred terms – a wider lead than what it recorded at the last election.
